Trump on pace to be the most unpopular president in history
Oct 14, 2017

President Trump's unexpected rise to power is now only matched by his meteoric rise in public disapproval. After only nine months in office, Trump is already outpacing historically disliked presidents such as Richard Nixon, with an approval rating consistently mired below 40%.

Although he received a slight bump after his recent temper tantrum against NFL players and team owners, his poor handling of the crisis in Puerto Rico, and seeming lack of desire to continue relief efforts after Hurricane Maria, has pushed his disapproval ratings to near-historic highs. Three weeks after the storm, public opinion of the president is even lower than George W. Bush's was after more than 1,800 people died on his watch responding to Hurricane Katrina.

And while his approval rating continues it's steep decent towards true zero across the nation, it's his drop in individual states where GOP legislators are facing midterm challenges that may be the larger issue. Since Truman was elected in 1944, a president’s party loses more than 28 House seats in his first midterm election. And the lower the approval rating, the more seats come into play.

Recent polling from Morning Consult via CNBC shows just how bad the "Trump effect" is on sitting state GOP reps.

The poll, which surveyed 472,000 registered voters between January and September, also found a 19-point drop in Trump's net approval ratings nationwide.

Trump has failed to improve his standing among voters anywhere, the poll found, even in the states where he won by large margins in the 2016 presidential election.

The results paint a worrisome picture for Senate Republicans next year, who will be defending eight seats. Democrats, however, will be fighting to hold on to 25 seats, making the overall risk of Republicans losing their Senate majority relatively small.

In Tennessee, Trump's net approval rating is down 23 points. Indiana saw a negative swing of 17 points. Both states have Senate races in 2018.

The number of voters who disapprove of Trump's job performance nationwide has also climbed by double digits: In January, the president's disapproval rating was 39 percent — by September that figure had climbed 13 points, to 52 percent.

In Nevada and Arizona, two states where vulnerable Republican senators are running for re-election next year, 51 percent of voters statewide said they disapproved of Trump's job performance.

At the time of this article, President Trump's approval rating is 38%.